Discovery
described as a “fundamental shift in antiviral drug development” by an expert
peer reviewer; serves as the basis for an armamentarium of broad-spectrum,
direct-acting antivirals.
SAN DIEGO
—
Model Medicines
,
an AI-first biotechnology company developing first-in-class therapeutics
against multi-indication biological choke points, today announced the
publication of a manuscript that establishes the RNA-dependent RNA polymerase
(RdRp) Thumb-1 pocket as a conserved, druggable target for broad-spectrum
antiviral development.
The Thumb-1
pocket is a cryptic, allosteric site on the viral RdRp that controls an
essential conformational change required for polymerase initiation.
Pharmaceutical engagement traps the viral polymerase in a catalytically
incompetent state, inhibiting replication.
“The scientific
literature states that conserved, druggable, allosteric viral biology targets
do not exist,” said Daniel Haders, PhD, Founder and CEO of Model Medicines. “The
broad-spectrum RdRp Thumb-1 pocket disproves decades of dogma that has
influenced and continues to influence every antiviral drug program. We
discovered a target the field dismissed as impossible. We did this by
methodically developing a platform that allows us to do the tedious work of
target discovery that others will not do or cannot do.”
The preprint,
“The RdRp Thumb-1 Pocket is a Conserved Target for Broad-Spectrum Antiviral
Development,” is
available on bioRxiv
. It is accompanied by a
companion
preprint
reporting preclinical proof of concept for MDL-001, the
company’s oral, direct-acting antiviral discovered against this target.
Model Medicines
has been invited to present the RdRp Thumb-1 findings at IDWeek 2026 this
October in Washington, D.C. “This is a highly innovative and mechanistically
compelling abstract with strong novelty and potential significance for
antiviral drug development,” said an IDWeek 2026 expert peer reviewer.
“Demonstrates conservation of an allosteric site across viral families,
directly contradicting established belief that non-nucleoside antivirals cannot
achieve broad-spectrum activity. This is a fundamental shift in antiviral drug
development strategy.”
Model Medicines
has now presented the discovery of the RdRp Thumb-1 site at IDWeek 2025
[1]
, AASLD 2025
[2]
, HepDART 2025
[3]
, CROI 2026
[4]
, ESCMID Global 2026
[5]
, SERVC 2026
[6]
, EASL 2026
[7]
, and ASV 2026
[8]
.
The MDL-001
preprint has also been featured in the recent launch of the
Intercept
Fund
, a $500 million philanthropic initiative, backed by leaders
across technology and global health, including Stripe, Anthropic, the OpenAI
Foundation, Jane Street, and the Flu Lab.
[9]
The World Is No Better Prepared for the Next Pandemic Than the Last
RNA virus
pandemics and epidemics occur regularly and cause widespread death and economic
devastation. In the last 25 years, humanity has endured at least six major
viral outbreaks: West Nile virus, SARS-CoV-1, swine-origin H1N1 influenza,
MERS-CoV, Ebola, and COVID-19.
[10]
The COVID-19 pandemic caused an estimated 14.8 million deaths, resulted in
$13.8 trillion in cumulative economic losses, and pushed 97 million people into
extreme poverty.
[11]
[12]
[13]
Beyond the threat
of the next pandemic, the annual toll is significant. Each winter, clinicians
face a recurring tripledemic of influenza, RSV, and SARS-CoV-2 that causes
hundreds of millions of infections and hundreds of thousands of deaths
worldwide every year.
[14]
In a non-pandemic year in the U.S. alone, adults experience two to six of these
respiratory viral illnesses and children approximately six to eight, at an
economic cost exceeding $100 billion.
[15]
[16]
A Parallel Crisis in the Liver and a Different Kind of Need
Chronic viral
hepatitis is a health crisis of comparable scale. Hepatitis B and C infections
persist in 254 million and 50 million people worldwide, respectively.
[17]
An estimated 12–72
million people also carry hepatitis D, a satellite virus that cannot replicate
without hepatitis B.
[18]
It is estimated that 5–15 million carry both HCV and HBV at once, yet most will
never be diagnosed. Only 13% of HBV infections and 36% of HCV infections are
identified globally, and fewer than 1% of co-infected patients know their
status. Co-infection is not merely additive. Patients carrying both viruses are
over 100-fold more likely to develop hepatocellular carcinoma than uninfected
individuals.
[19]
Compounding the danger, every FDA-approved HCV direct-acting antiviral (DAA) carries
a black box warning for the risk of hepatitis B virus (HBV) reactivation in
patients with current or prior HBV infection. This reactivation can lead to
fulminant hepatitis, liver failure, or death.
[20]
This FDA-mandated warning, added in 2016, applies to all DAA regimens, such as
Epclusa, Harvoni, Mavyret, and others.
Together, these
gaps point to a single, persistent, and largely unaddressed need: one oral
agent with broad-spectrum, direct-acting activity across the viruses that drive
both crises.
A Conserved Target Hidden in Plain Sight
Conventional
wisdom held that allosteric sites on viral polymerases are too poorly conserved
to support pharmaceutical engagement beyond genotype- or species-specific
activity.
[21]
Beclabuvir, the only approved Thumb-1 inhibitor, was developed for hepatitis C
and is inactive against a diverse panel of non-HCV viruses, including
poliovirus, rhinovirus, coronavirus, coxsackievirus, influenza, and HIV.
[22]
The Thumb-1
pocket had gone unrecognized because it is cryptic, and Beclabuvir MoA and
activity data were misinterpreted. Beclabuvir’s lack of activity across viruses
led to the conclusion that the pocket either did not exist or was undruggable
on other viruses. This conclusion was seemingly validated because in the polymerase’s
resting state the viral Λ1-loop occupies the site, rendering it invisible to
conventional virtual screening. Model Medicines followed biology, rather than
human dogma. Model Medicines' structural biology agent identified the pocket
in viruses beyond HCV. The company then analyzed published HCV inhibitor
co-crystal structures to define a fifteen-residue consensus Thumb-1 pocket.
Model Medicines then aligned those residues across six coronaviruses spanning
both Alphacoronavirus and Betacoronavirus genera to demonstrate that the pocket
and its associated Λ1-loop are conserved across RNA viral families.
Following the Science to a Novel Drug Class
Model Medicines
used the molecular-geometric deep-learning model, ChemPrint
TM
,
within its peer-reviewed
[23]
,
experimentally validated GALILEO™ drug discovery platform to find chemistry
capable of engaging Thumb-1 across viral families. The company assembled a
proprietary, three-tier bioactivity dataset spanning explicit HCV Thumb-1
chemistry and cross-family inhibitor scaffolds, then trained its model to
separate HCV-restricted chemistry from genuinely broad-spectrum chemistry.
In an
accompanying
preprint
, Model Medicines demonstrates that
MDL-001 inhibits Influenza, Coronaviruses, RSV, HCV, HBV, and HDV. MDL-001 is
the first Thumb-1 inhibitor demonstrated to cross viral families. These
findings establish RdRp Thumb-1 as both a conserved allosteric pocket and a
druggable target built to yield successive generations of broad-spectrum,
pandemic-ready therapeutics.
The Discovery of Novel Druggable Targets is Rare in Virology
Prior
broad-spectrum drug discovery programs focused on developing
nucleoside/nucleotide therapeutics that directly target the viral polymerase
active site or host-targeted antivirals. None of the compounds active against
these target classes have achieved broad-spectrum FDA approvals for Universal
Influenza-like-Illness (ILI) or Universal Chronic Hepatitis.
Few recently approved
direct-acting antivirals act through clearly new target classes. Notable
examples include baloxavir, an influenza cap-dependent endonuclease inhibitor,
and lenacapavir, an HIV capsid inhibitor.
[24]
[25]
RdRp Thumb-1
adds a new, broad-spectrum target to that short and commercially significant
list.
A New Blueprint for Drug Discovery
Model Medicines
broke with existing drug development paradigms to discover RdRp Thumb-1. In
structure-based design, molecules are docked into a target's resolved 3D structure.
This method would have failed to detect RdRp Thumb-1, because its pocket is
cryptic and remains closed in the polymerase’s resting state. Conversely,
similarity-based ligand approaches rank molecules by similarity to known
actives and look for close chemical relatives. This method would have failed to
discover broad-spectrum RdRp Thumb-1 inhibitors because the search would have
kept returning the same narrow HCV-specific chemistry.
To discover
RdRp Thumb-1, Model Medicines fused the two paradigms. To establish the
biology, the team overlaid crystal structures of the HCV RdRp Thumb-1 pocket
bound to inhibitors and compared the polymerase across many viral families.
This comparison confirmed that the pocket is conserved. The team then ran
molecular-dynamics simulations to show how a bound drug displaces the Λ1-loop.
To find the chemistry, the team used its GALILEO™ AI engine to train a
geometry-aware deep-learning model on a proprietary dataset of small molecules.
The model learned the features that make a molecule broad-spectrum rather than
the features tied to any single virus. It identified the chemistry responsible
for broad-spectrum interaction with the RdRp Thumb-1 pocket.
About Model Medicines
Model Medicines
is an AI-first biotechnology company engineering first-in-class small molecules
that target the biological linchpins underlying disease. The company’s research
spans infectious disease, oncology, and inflammation, with programs designed
around conserved molecular choke points that drive multiple pathologies. Model
Medicines has discovered a direct-acting, non-nucleoside, broad-spectrum
antiviral (MDL-001) and a potent, selective, and novel BRD4 inhibitor
(MDL-4102). Its work demonstrates how large-scale computation can uncover
entirely new classes of drugs once thought unreachable. Model Medicines is
advancing a new generation of therapeutics that redefine what is possible in
modern drug discovery. Learn more at
.
Media & Investor Contact
Patrick O’Neill
Head of Partnerships &
Investor Relations
media@modelmedicines.com
[1]
MDL-001: A Broad-Spectrum Antiviral Targeting the Thumb-1 Domain of Viral
Polymerases, Open Forum Infectious Diseases, Volume 13, Issue Supplement_1,
January 2026, ofaf695.084,
[2]
MDL-001 As A Next Generation HCV Thumb-1 inhibitor
With Clinical-Stage Safety, The Liver Meeting: 2025 Abstracts. (2025).
Hepatology (Baltimore, Md.), 82(S1), S1–S2308. Abstract 0088.
[3]
Oral Thumb-1 polymerase inhibitor MDL-001 achieves
preclinical HCV and HBV proof-of-concept, including HCV/HBV co-infection and
equivalence to sofosbuvir. Paper presented at: HEPDART 2025; December 7–11,
2025
[4]
MDL-001, a novel oral thumb-1 polymerase
inhibitor, shows efficacy in HCV/HBV in vitro and in vivo. Paper presented at:
Conference on Retroviruses and Opportunistic Infections (CROI); February 22–25,
2026; Denver, CO. Abstract 589.
/
[5]
MDL-001, an oral direct-acting Thumb-1 polymerase
inhibitor, demonstrates broad-spectrum activity against influenza viruses,
respiratory syncytial virus, and SARS-CoV-2 with oral proof-of-concept in mice.
Abstract presented at: ESCMID Global 2026; April 18, 2026; Munich, Germany.
Abstract 5803
MDL-001, an oral direct-acting Thumb-1 polymerase inhibitor, demonstrates
single-agent efficacy against HCV/HBV co-infection in vitro, and achieves HCV
and HBV preclinical proof-of-concept. Abstract presented at: ESCMID Global
2026; April 18, 2026; Munich, Germany. Abstract 5778.
[6]
MDL-001, an oral direct-acting Thumb-1 polymerase
inhibitor, demonstrates broad-spectrum activity against influenza viruses,
respiratory syncytial virus, and SARS-CoV-2 with oral proof-of-concept in mice.
Paper presented at: the 18th Southeastern Regional Virology Conference (SERVC
2026), April 24–26, 2026
[7]
MDL-001, an oral direct-acting Thumb-1 polymerase
inhibitor, demonstrates efficacy against HCV/HBV co-infection in vitro, and
achieves HCV and HBV preclinical proof-of-concept, including equivalence to
sofosbuvir, Journal of Hepatology, Volume 84, Supplement 1, May 2026, Pages
S877-S878, THU-580.
(26)02352-4/abstract
[8]
MDL-001, an oral Thumb-1 polymerase inhibitor, demonstrates
broad-spectrum antiviral activity across six viral families with oral in vivo
proof-of-concept. Paper presented at: the 45th Annual Meeting of the American
Society for Virology (ASV 2026), July 27–30, 2026
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Hanage, W. P., & Schaffner, W. (2025). Burden of
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Virus, and SARS-CoV-2 with Consideration of Older Adults: A Narrative Review.
Infectious diseases and therapy, 14(Suppl 1), 5–37.
[17]
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8. Negro F, Lok AS. Hepatitis D: A Review. JAMA.
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